REMINDER Tyrus Berry, Ph.D. George Mason University Thursday, February 21, 2019 12:00 pm – 1:00 pm Krasnow, Room K229 Title: Overcoming Model Uncertainty: Integrating machine learning tools into parametric model. Abstract: Data assimilation is the process of merging a mathematical model with actual observations to estimate parameters and determine the state of a system. Classical methods of data assimilation assume perfect knowledge of the governing equations and the observation map, along with perfect specification of noise models, etc. In this talk, we will explore how these classical methods work and show how these idealized assumptions can be replaced using tools from machine learning combined with large data sets. Surprisingly, the classical methods contain natural `red flags' which indicate when the model and the data are not matching well, and the challenge is to use these indicators to learn a correction to the model. These corrections take the form a mapping which takes in the current observations and the state of the idealized model and outputs a model correction term. This black-box mapping can often be achieved with modern machine learning methods. We discuss several examples of this approach to biological datasets, including a recent work in collaboration with Timothy Sauer and Franz Hamilton which involves extracting intracellular potential from extracellular recordings without using any explicit mapping between these variables. http://math.gmu.edu/~berry/ Bio: Dr. Berry received his PhD in Mathematics at George Mason University (GMU) in 2013 and worked as a postdoc in the Math departments of Penn State and GMU until 2017 when he was hired as an Assistant Professor in the Department of Mathematical Sciences at GMU. Tyrus' main research focus has been on overcoming model error by using the theory of manifold learning to build model-free methods of forecasting based on data and combining these data-driven models with imperfect or simplified parametric models of complex phenomena. UPDATE EVENT - Health Policy Seminar Series Presentation This event is hosted by Department of Health Administration and Policy (HAP) and The Center for Health Policy Research and Ethic (CHPRE) has changed from Wednesday, February 20, 2019 to Thursday, March 7, 2019. Invitation to guest speaker presentation by Dr. Siddhartha Sikdar, Professor, Volgenau School of Engineering, George Mason University. The topic will be Transdisciplinary Research on Chronic Disability on Thursday, March 7, 2019 from 12pm-1:30pm in Merten Hall, Room 1204.